Niger Junta: ECOWAS Mulls Invasion, Says Tchiani’s 3-Year Plan Provoking

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The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) has said it’s more likely to use military force to reinstate constitutional order in Niger if the military junta led by Gen. Abdourahamane Tchiani is hellbent on his three-year transition plan before returning to civil rule.

Fielding questions on Channels Television, Morning Rise, ECOWAS Commissioner for Political Affairs, Peace, and Security, Ambassador Abdel-Fatau Musah, explained that the community’s chances of using military force to reinstate constitutional order in Niger are more likely.

He said, “Right from the 1960s, I have never seen a coup that has not enjoyed continuous support from the people.

“The support can be engineered; you can rent crowds; that does not imply that people are unconcerned about their future; the high level of youth unemployment is a factor; mismanagement of our resources is a factor, but is the military a better sort of governance of our economy? Empirical data in our region never demonstrates that. So is that the right way to go about trying to change the system?

READ ALSO: Niger Coup: ECOWAS Military Chiefs To Meet Again In Ghana

“Few years ago, you could not even talk of an incumbent president being defeated in an election, Since about 1992, we have seen alternations of power where sitting presidents were defeated and where ruling parties were defeated, whether in Ghana, Senegal, Nigeria, Sierra Leone, or even Liberia. So there’s already progress.”

Asked about the plan of ECOWAS to pragmatically restore peace to Niger after the crisis, he said, “What plan does the coup led by Gen. Abdourahamane Tchiani have for the country? They are now embarking on a blind experiment, saying that they are going to have a three-year transition, they are going to consult people, so they, themselves came without a plan. Now that they have overthrown a democratically elected government, they are thinking about alternatives.

“We have seen where coups have occurred, we have not seen any major alternative to save the population, military claim to save in those countries. So before the coup, ECOWAS had identified the cascading terrorism moving from Burkina Faso to coastal countries as an existential trend that threatened the livelihood of West African citizens and was an impediment to economic development.

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“Let’s first remove that obstacle and put in place a regional plan for governance, which is already there. So there are rules and engagement for developing the country through regional and economic integration and increasing intra- and West African trade. All these are there, but they take time to bear fruit, and the military is not an alternative. We are just talking about West Africa as if it were an island. All these challenges we are talking about are global. Even in most advanced countries, ordinary people are suffering, and they have not chosen to take part in overthrowing their governments.

“So why here? The inflation in the US, UK is not better than what we are seeing in West Africa today.

“In terms of ECOWAS reinstating constitutional order, it starts with a consultation with all the active forces in the country. Political parties, the labour movement, and civil society organizations, all have a say in it. So at the regional level, ECOWAS is already in the process of developing the economic and social council, which is the interface between civil society and policymaking in the region. The main driving slogan of ECOWAS is transforming the region from an ECOWAS of states driven by the decisions of heads of state to an ECOWAS of the people. The process is ongoing.

READ ALSO; Germany Wants EU Sanctions Against Niger Coup Leaders

Asked on a scale of 1-10 how likely ECOWAS would deploy force in Niger, he said, “Personally, my wish is that it should be at zero, but I think given the posture of the regime, I will put it at 7, because if they continue to frustrate the non-violent proposal to reinstate constitutional order and then give an unacceptable timetable for return to constitutional order, they make the use of force more likely.

At least they have come forward to say they have an intention to return the country to constitutional order, but ECOWAS does not agree with the time frame, so even that agreement in principle is a move forward by the junta, but we will continue to consult to know the minimum, which would be the decisions by the authority of heads of state.

Asked if ECOWAS is fixated on reinstating President Mohamed Bazoum, he said, ” ECOWAS is asking for the release of Bazoum and his reinstatement. So we are calling on the junta to be reasonable because the three years they are talking about are nothing less than provocation to the ECOWAS community.”

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